Decoupling food insecurity from shocks: A global analysis of food system resilience

Our study provides a global assessment of food system resilience, based on panel data from high-, middle-, and low-income countries and using a resilience-as-capacity framework. By integrating multicountry indicators of shocks, governance, economy, system properties and social conditions, we offer an empirical multivariable analysis of the factors shaping countries’ ability to maintain food security during crises. This work advances resilience science beyond conceptual/theoretical models by offering data-driven evidence of the mechanisms underpinning responses to shocks at system level. These findings have broad relevance for researchers across disciplines, from sustainability science to public health and development studies, while offering direct policy-relevant insights for actors seeking to strengthen national preparedness and food security amid intensifying climate- and conflict-related shocks.